This week, Sadiq Khan is widely expected to win the election to become London’s mayor. If he does, he will be the first Muslim mayor in Europe’s largest city and the first elected Muslim mayor of any major European city.
Khan’s status as an observant Muslim hasn’t gone unnoticed. In fact, it has proved to be a sore subject in the remarkably bitter battle for London’s top political office, where identity politics has trumped the slim policy differences between the candidates. Khan’s supporters accuse his rival, Zac Goldsmith, the son of a billionaire financier, of using “dog whistle” tactics to tar Khan with allegations of links to extremists. Goldsmith penned an article in the Mail on Sunday that suggested that Khan had “repeatedly legitimized those with extremist views.”
The article was illustrated with a picture from the July 7, 2005, bombings in London, which left 52 people dead.
Imagine you’re a Muslim in the UK. You’re told to integrate, join institutions. This is what happens when you do. pic.twitter.com/etiTR5yjuX
— Siraj Datoo (@dats) May 1, 2016
Is it really so shocking that Europe’s largest city would elect a Muslim mayor? Given that there are an estimated 1 million Muslims in London, around an eighth of the total population, perhaps not. The position of London mayor was created in 2000, meaning that Khan would not just be the city’s first Muslim mayor: He would also be the British capital’s third mayor, period. And although Khan comes from a Muslim background — he was born to Pakistani parents in south London — his reserved manner and stance against extremism make him a less divisive figure than his somewhat notorious predecessors, the outspoken leftist Ken Livingstone and the publicity-savvy conservative Boris Johnson.
However, the situation Khan faces may well be a broader sign of the difficulties Muslims in Western Europe confront when trying to get elected to office. The number of Muslim citizens has risen in many Western European nations over the past few decades. Perhaps it would be reasonable to assume that would mean more Muslim voters and more Muslim candidates for political office. The reality, however, is far more complicated — and not just because of religion.
Muslim candidates often run into concerns about Islamist extremism among the broader voting public. For Khan, the situation has been made worse by timing: The official start of campaigning in the London mayoral race began March 21, the day before Islamic State-linked bombers attacked Brussels and killed 32 people. Many experts argue that growing Muslim populations in Western Europe — or perhaps more accurately, the perception of growing Muslim populations — have helped contribute to the recent successes of a number of far-right, anti-immigrant parties across the continent.
According to research from Abdulkader Sinno, an associate professor of political science at Indiana University, there are only 70 to 100 lawmakers in Western Europe with some link to Islam, out of a total of about 8,000. Sinno notes, too, that some of those he counts are not observant Muslims and that it is simply a “matter of heritage.” The situation varies greatly from country to country. In Britain, there are 13 Muslim lawmakers in the lower house of Parliament. This number is the highest it has ever been, but it falls short of being fully representative of the broader population: Muslims make up 2 percent of Parliament vs. 4 percent of Britain’s population. In France, home to the largest Muslim population in Western Europe (amounting to about 8.5 percent of the total French population), there is just one lawmaker of Muslim background in the 577-member National Assembly.
Any distrust of Muslim candidates among a broader electorate isn’t necessarily made up for by a new emerging class of Muslim voters, either. Jytte Klausen, a Danish-born scholar who teaches at Brandeis University in Massachusetts, says it is “a trope” that Muslims can influence electoral outcomes in Europe. “Overall, Muslims are about 3 to 10 percent of the population contingent on which country we are talking about,” Klausen writes in an email. “About one-third is too young to vote. Many Muslims (again contingent on the country in question) do not have citizenship and therefore cannot vote.”
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